Failed for the first time since 1973 with a real war, Israel called for help his American godfather

After the first hours which followed the attack -large -scale Israeli airprise which seemed to paralyze the Iranian command, Iran retaliated with the aggressor with the weapons at its disposal: the drones and the ballistic missiles. On the fourth day of the war opened between the two countries, what assessment can we draw?

1. The air attack-underprise last Friday carried out by means of 200 modern American manufacturing aircraft (F-16, F-15 and F-35) had a considerable military and psychological impact. The Iranian command has been beheaded, nuclear and ballistic sites have been affected without exactly the gravity of the damage suffered by Iran. It did not take more than 18 hours to the Iranian command to react, the time to digest the sung trauma, to assess the situation of the forces and to reorganize to strike. The Iranian response in the night from Friday to Saturday to have taken two forms: an attack by means of a hundred drones whose mission was to detect and assess the enemy aerial defenses followed by six ballistic loves that Israeli air defense prides itself on the most powerful in the world was unable to intercept and destroy in full.

2. The Iranian response which has targeted strategic and military objectives (including three air bases from which have taken off the aircraft that has been bombing for 20 months) has denied Israeli military propaganda which claimed to have neutralized the Iranian ballistic capacities during Friday. Better still, the Israeli air raids that followed the Iranian response encountered a better prepared and better organized air defense than during the first attack on Friday. This proves that the Iranian air defenses, even if they were seriously affected, have not been destroyed.

3. Iranian ballistic attacks rose crescendo during the first three days of the armed conflict. They are more precise and more destructive. Iranian forces use a mix between ballistic missiles and hypersonic missiles. The latter, even in smaller numbers, have made it possible to receive major strategic objectives (intelligence services, military research centers including the famous Weizmann Center in Tel Aviv, air bases, arms factories, Haifa refinery). On the fourth day of the conflict, the situation appears to be follows: the absolute air superiority of Israel is the only military advantage which still allows this State to carry out its war of aggression against the only power of the region which stands up. The Western embargo and the dramatic inconsistency of the Russian ally have so far prevented Iran from rebuilding an air force worthy of its ambitions. Western and Israeli pressures have each time sabotaged the Russian-Iranian negotiations with a view to acquiring Sukhoi 35 combat aircraft which could have allowed Iran to better defend its airspace.

4. However, the absolute air superiority of Israel does not allow him to put Ko Iran. The latter sought to compensate for the weakness of its air force by autonomously developing a local defense industry based on two strategic vectors: attack drones and ballistic missiles including hypersonic missiles like the Khaybar missile (Speed ​​of Mach 9) and the Imad missile (Mach 11 Speed) and the Kassem Missile (Speed ​​of Mach 12) difficult to intercept by the air defenses Israeli. Besides these two vectors, Iran has also developed its own air defense systems which, even if they cannot yet-compete with Russian (S-300 PMU2 and S-400) and Chinese (HQ-9B) air systems, have allowed Iran to counter Iran to counter Israeli rappeas in several strategic places.

5. To assess as objectively as possible the results of the war, it is necessary to return to the objectives initially set by the one who started this war, namely Israel. From the first hours which followed the attack, Netanyahu said that the two objectives of Israel were 1) the destruction of Iranian nuclear capacities and 2) the destruction of Iranian ballistic capacities. On the fourth day of the conflict, it is clear that neither the first objective nor the second was achieved. Unable to destroy the Iranian nuclear potential by means of planes and bombs at its disposal, the Israeli government has expressly requested the entry of the United States at war by its side to overcome the main Iranian nuclear sites. It is an admission of scathing failure on the part of a state which appeared in the massacre of women and children in Gaza but which is unable to face itself that it considers to be an “existential threat”.

6. The United States and Great Britain actively participate alongside Israel in the interception of Iranian drones and missiles in Jordanian, Iraqi and Syrian air areas. The direct military participation of the Americans and the British has so far been confined to the defensive aspect. Can it turn into an offensive equity from the air bases installed in the region? It is not impossible and this intervention will be more than certain if Israel is judged in danger. But nothing indicates neither in Iran’s intentions nor in the succession of facts in the region for half a century or in the relationship of the forces between the two belligerents, which Israel is confronted with any existential danger.

7. The elements which emerge from the first four days of the conflict show that if the United States does not intervene directly in the offensive operations against Iran, things will evolve towards an end of the game at the end of which Israel will not have won (or at most it will have won a delay of the Iranian nuclear program of a few years) and Iran will not be lost (as long as the Islamic Republic of Iran regional will remain standing).

8. The current conflict between Israel and Iran will have a direct impact on the Palestinian cause for which millions of people around the world have been demonstrating, for almost two years, unfortunately. Indeed, no discourse, no resolution, no demonstration will be able to retreat the militarist and fascist state of Israel. Only strength can stop strength. If Israel does not come out victorious of this conflict and if the Islamic Republic of Iran resists, the Palestinian cause will undoubtedly leave it and will experience better political and diplomatic perspectives. This is why people who support (or pretend to support) the Palestinian people but who hesitate to support Iran in its defensive war and in its ambition to build an alternative regional power, whatever their ideological reserves as to the nature of the Iranian regime, are hypocrites (mounafikines).

9. With or without direct American intervention, the Islamic Republic of Iran is facing today – which alone alone – of the American sprawling empire whose organic ties with Zionism (including Christian Zionism) deserves a fine understanding on the part of all the forces which aspire to release it. The War of the Empire against the Islamic Republic of Iran as all fourth generation wars combines military intervention and attempts at political destabilization by means of ideological and communication war. In the Arab world, the Empire and its valets do not hesitate to play the card of the confessional division (Sunnis against Shiites) and ethnic division in addition to the worn business of human rights and democracy that the West does not hesitate to trample systematically when its interests are at stake. Independence, national sovereignty and non-alignment when they are seated on a In a world delivered to Western raptors and the inconsistency of Russia and China, are now the only criterion that should guide peoples in their struggle for emancipation.

10. Whatever the short -term results of this conflict and even in the event of a direct American intervention, the disastrous consequences on the stability of a nerve region for the global economy, Iranian ambitions in order to impose the new regional strategic equation by the consolidation of national independence, scientific and technological development, will remain inscribed in the logic of the history of a region delivered for more than a century for more than a century for more than a century for more than a century for more than a century for more than a century for more than a century, To foreign predation with the complicity of reactionary regimes in the service of the Empire and whose peoples enlocked with freedom and dignity and which aspire to social progress will be condemned sooner or later to take the path of the struggle for the national and social liberation and the civilizational Renaissance.