War against Iran: Gérard Araud — “We see more and more that it is a catastrophe, that this operation is not going anywhere”

War against Iran: Gérard Araud — “We see more and more that it is a catastrophe, that this operation is not going anywhere”

ByMuhammad

Guest on LCIthe former French ambassador Gérard Araud delivered a particularly lucid analysis of the current military operation, believing that it is getting bogged down without a political or strategic perspective. According to him, after eleven days of conflict, there is no sign of positive developments. “We absolutely cannot see how things are evolving positively,” he notes, emphasizing the impasse in which this intervention has found itself. Even if the operation were to last longer – “22 days, 33 days” – he sees “absolutely no perspective”.

In his analysis, the diplomat also points out the absence of a coherent strategy on the side of UNITED STATESwhose support for Israel would not be accompanied by any clear political vision to break the deadlock. In his eyes, the offensive thus appears to be an “illegal and absurd” operation, which only aggravates the situation without offering the slightest solution. Conversely, he observes a progressive movement in Europe where several governments are beginning to recognize this reality. He pays tribute in particular to the Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchezwhom he hails as the first European leader to have publicly denounced this operation. Since then, he explains, other countries have gradually taken a position, notably France, Swiss And Italywhile Germany remains more reserved.

Beyond the military field, Gérard Araud also highlights the long-term geopolitical and economic consequences. He believes that the current crisis could profoundly weaken the development model of the major Gulf metropolises, such as Dubai, Abu Dhabi or even Qatarbuilt on a globalized economy and a massive expatriate workforce. For the former ambassador, the issue therefore goes far beyond the conflict itself: “What we are witnessing is the death of a region,” he warns, judging that it will now be difficult to revive the attractiveness of these cities and to bring back the expatriate populations who made their economy tick.

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Muhammad

Muhammad is a visionary thinker and passionate writer who has been contributing to Understanding Islam for several years.